A person reviewing a higher health insurance bill at a kitchen table after ACA subsidies expiring 2026

ACA Subsidies 2027: What Changed After the Enhanced Credits Expired (and the 400% Cliff)

October 2, 2026 · Guides

ACA subsidies in 2027 follow the original, smaller formula because the enhanced premium tax credits of 2021–2025 expired on December 31, 2025 and Congress did not extend them. The 8.5%-of-income cap is gone, the 400% federal-poverty-level “subsidy cliff” is back, and your share of the benchmark premium is now 2.15% to 10.22% of income.

Updated October 2026 for the 2027 plan year. Reflects the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits on December 31, 2025 and the IRS’s 2027 contribution percentages.

Key facts (2027 plan year)

  • The enhanced credits created by the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 and extended by the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 expired at the end of 2025 (CMS 2026 Open Enrollment report).
  • Marketplace sign-ups for 2026 fell about 5%, to 23.1 million, roughly 1.2 million fewer than in 2025 (CMS).
  • For 2027, the expected contribution for the benchmark Silver plan is 2.15% to 10.22% of income, up from 2.10%–9.96% in 2026 (IRS Rev. Proc. 2026-26).
  • Above 400% FPL ($63,840 for one person, $132,000 for a family of four) there is no premium tax credit for 2027 coverage.
  • Insurers proposed a median 15% premium increase for 2027 across 276 insurers (KFF, August 2026).
  • From tax year 2026, repayment caps on excess advance credits are eliminated (IRS).
  • From January 1, 2027, many lawfully present immigrants lose eligibility for the credit (HealthCare.gov).

What happened to the enhanced ACA subsidies?

The enhanced ACA subsidies expired on December 31, 2025, and Congress did not extend them. For plan years 2021 through 2025, those enhancements capped what anyone paid for a benchmark plan at no more than 8.5% of income and removed the income ceiling on eligibility. The ACA’s original, smaller subsidy formula took over for 2026 and remains in force for 2027.

The short version of ACA subsidies 2027: smaller credits, a hard cliff at 400% FPL and higher premiums. This is a change in federal law, not a change by any insurer or by HealthCare.gov. Marketplace plans and protections are unchanged: insurers still cannot deny you or charge more for a pre-existing condition. What changed is the math behind your premium tax credit. For millions of people that math produced a larger monthly bill starting in 2026, with another round of rate increases proposed for 2027. You can read the official rules on premium tax credits at IRS.gov.

ACA subsidies 2027 timeline: how we got here

The enhanced credits were always temporary. They were created as pandemic relief, extended once, and then allowed to lapse after extension bills failed in late 2025 and early 2026.

ACA subsidies 2027: key dates from the enhanced credits to the 2027 plan year
DateWhat happened
March 2021American Rescue Plan Act creates enhanced premium tax credits for 2021 and 2022, including help above 400% FPL
August 2022Inflation Reduction Act extends the enhanced credits through the end of 2025
December 2025Proposals to extend the enhanced credits fail to become law
December 31, 2025Enhanced credits expire; original ACA formula and the 400% cliff return for 2026
January 15, 20262026 Open Enrollment closes with 23.1 million plan selections, about 5% fewer than 2025 (CMS)
July 2026IRS publishes the 2027 applicable percentages: 2.15% to 10.22% of income
August 2026KFF finds insurers proposing a median 15% premium increase for 2027
November 1, 2026Open Enrollment for 2027 coverage opens (HealthCare.gov states)
January 1, 2027Premium tax credit limited to citizens, green card holders, Cuban/Haitian entrants and COFA migrants

As of mid-October 2026, no law restoring the enhanced credits for 2027 has been enacted. If Congress acts later, HealthCare.gov and the IRS would announce new rules; until then, plan around the original formula.

Is the 400% subsidy cliff back for 2027?

Yes. The 400% FPL subsidy cliff applies to 2027 coverage. Two specific rules reverted when the enhanced credits expired, and together they drove most of the premium increases in 2026.

The 8.5% income cap disappeared

Under the enhanced rules, your benchmark Silver premium was capped at 8.5% of household income no matter how much you earned. That cap is gone. The original ACA formula asks higher earners to pay a steeper share of income before any credit applies. For 2027, the IRS sets that expected contribution between 2.15% and 10.22% of income (Rev. Proc. 2026-26), up from 2.10%–9.96% in 2026. The subsidy shrinks and your share grows.

The 400% FPL subsidy cliff returned

The “subsidy cliff” means that once your income passes 400% of the federal poverty level, you lose premium tax credits entirely, not gradually but all at once. A household just one dollar over the line can go from a meaningful subsidy to zero. For 2027 coverage that threshold is $63,840 for an individual and $132,000 for a family of four (based on the 2026 poverty guidelines).

Watch out: The cliff is a hard edge. If your estimated 2027 income lands just above 400% FPL, a small, legal adjustment, like an extra retirement contribution that lowers your MAGI, can be the difference between full price and a sizable credit.

ACA subsidies 2027 vs 2025: enhanced vs original rules

The clearest way to see what changed is side by side. The left column is the last year of the enhanced credits; the right column is the rule set for 2027 coverage.

Enhanced ACA subsidies (2025) vs original ACA rules (2027 coverage)
RuleEnhanced credits (2025)2027 coverage
Share of income at the lowest incomes0% up to 150% FPL2.15% under 133% FPL; 3.23%–4.30% from 133% to 150%
Highest share of income anyone pays8.5%10.22% (300%–400% FPL)
Income above 400% FPLStill eligible if the benchmark cost more than 8.5% of incomeNo premium tax credit
Repaying excess advance creditsCapped for incomes under 400% FPLNo cap from tax year 2026
Lawfully present immigrantsGenerally eligibleLimited to green card holders, Cuban/Haitian entrants and COFA migrants (plus citizens)
Cost-sharing reductionsSilver plans, up to 250% FPLUnchanged: Silver plans, up to 250% FPL

For the full 2027 percentage table and an income-band calculator, see our evergreen guide to how health insurance subsidies work in 2027.

ACA subsidies in 2027: how much more will you pay?

Before the credits expired, KFF estimated that subsidized enrollees’ annual premium payments would more than double on average, a jump of about 114%. For 2027, KFF‘s review of insurer filings shows a median proposed rate increase of about 15%, the second straight year of double-digit hikes after a median finalized increase of about 20% for 2026.

Your net cost for 2027 depends on how much credit the formula leaves you. The table below shows the shape of the change. Actual figures vary by age, income, ZIP code and the plans sold in your area, so treat it as an illustration of direction, not a quote.

Illustrative before-and-after: premium impact of the subsidy change (2025 vs. 2026–2027)
SituationWith enhanced subsidies (2025)Original ACA rules (2026 and 2027)
Lower-income enrollee, well under 400% FPLA very small share of income for the benchmark plan2.15% to 6.78% of income for 2027 (under 200% FPL): still low, but higher, with a smaller credit
Middle-income enrollee near 400% FPLCapped at 8.5% of incomeUp to 10.22% of income for 2027; KFF projected payments would roughly double (around +114% avg)
Enrollee just over 400% FPLStill received a partial creditNo credit: pays full premium

The pattern is clear: the closer you are to the cliff, or just past it, the bigger your increase. Lower-income households keep more of their help but still see premiums rise as the formula tightens and base rates climb again for 2027.

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ACA subsidies 2027: who gets hit hardest?

The 2027 subsidy rules do not land evenly. Four groups feel it most.

  • People over 400% FPL. This group gets no subsidy at all because of the cliff. A 60-year-old couple with modest retirement income can cross that line easily and face the full benchmark premium.
  • Older enrollees. The ACA lets insurers charge older adults up to three times more than younger ones. Because their starting premiums are higher, losing or shrinking a subsidy hurts them more in raw dollars.
  • Middle-income households near the cliff. Those who were capped at 8.5% of income now pay the steeper original percentage, up to 10.22% for 2027.
  • Many lawfully present immigrants. From January 1, 2027, the premium tax credit is limited to citizens and nationals, green card holders, Cuban and Haitian entrants, and COFA migrants. Other lawfully present immigrants can still enroll but lose financial help. See who still qualifies for subsidies in 2027 and HealthCare.gov’s immigrant guidance.

Younger, lower-income enrollees are more insulated because they keep the largest share of their credit. Still, no one on a subsidized Marketplace plan should assume their 2027 renewal costs the same as 2026. If your bill already jumped, our guide to why your health insurance premium went up walks through the other causes.

ACA subsidies 2027: what else changed?

Beyond the expired enhancements, three other rule changes affect ACA subsidies for 2027. They come mainly from the 2025 federal budget law (Public Law 119-21, also called H.R. 1).

  • No repayment cap. Beginning with tax year 2026, the IRS says you must repay the full amount of any excess advance premium tax credit when you file IRS Form 8962. Underestimating your 2027 income is now riskier.
  • Narrower immigrant eligibility. Starting January 1, 2027, only citizens and nationals, green card holders, Cuban and Haitian entrants, and COFA migrants can get the credit.
  • Higher cost-sharing limits. The 2027 out-of-pocket maximum rises to $12,000 for an individual and $24,000 for a family (HealthCare.gov), up from $10,600 and $21,200 in 2026.

One thing did not change: Open Enrollment for 2027 coverage still runs November 1, 2026 to January 15, 2027 in HealthCare.gov states, with December 15, 2026 the deadline for a January 1 start.

ACA subsidies 2027: do they still exist?

Yes. ACA subsidies did not disappear. The enhanced version expired, but the original premium tax credit that has existed since 2014 remains in place. In 2026, CMS reports that 87% of Marketplace consumers still selected plans with an advance premium tax credit.

If your income falls between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level, you can still qualify for help with 2027 coverage on the older, smaller sliding scale. Two forms of help are still available:

  • Premium tax credits that lower your monthly premium, based on income and the benchmark Silver plan in your area.
  • Cost-sharing reductions (CSR) that cut your deductible and out-of-pocket costs, but only if you enroll in a Silver plan and your income is at or below 250% FPL.

Because CSR is tied to Silver, and the 2027 out-of-pocket maximum rises to $12,000 for an individual, the metal tier that was cheapest for you in 2026 may not be the smartest choice for 2027. Our guide to 2027 subsidies and the premium tax credit walks through the full formula, and you can confirm current rules directly at HealthCare.gov.

Your ACA subsidies 2027 action plan before you renew

With smaller subsidies and higher proposed rates, doing nothing is the most expensive choice for 2027. Auto-renewal keeps your old plan at new 2027 pricing and will not move you to a cheaper option even if one now exists. Follow these steps instead.

  1. Recheck your income and MAGI. Your subsidy hinges on your modified adjusted gross income. Re-estimate 2027 income carefully, and if you are near 400% FPL, look at legal ways to lower MAGI, such as HSA or retirement contributions, that could restore a credit.
  2. Compare every plan before renewing. Premiums, networks and subsidy amounts change every year. Run a fresh comparison across carriers and tiers rather than accepting the auto-renewal.
  3. Consider Silver and CSR. If your income is at or below 250% FPL, a Silver plan can unlock cost-sharing reductions that make it a better overall value than a cheaper-looking Bronze plan.
  4. Check Medicaid eligibility. If your income dropped, you may now qualify for Medicaid, which could cost far less than any Marketplace plan.

Timing matters too: Open Enrollment for 2027 runs November 1, 2026 through January 15, 2027 in HealthCare.gov states, and the deadline for January 1, 2027 coverage is December 15, 2026. See how the full Health Insurance Marketplace works before you choose.

Tip: Re-shopping costs nothing and Marketplace prices are fixed by law: you pay the same whether you compare plans yourself or get unbiased help doing it.

Medicaid and other affordable options

If 2027 premiums strain your budget, you have paths beyond a standard Marketplace plan. Medicaid covers adults up to about 138% FPL in the 40 states plus DC that expanded it, at little or no cost. Adults under 30, or anyone with a hardship exemption, can consider a Catastrophic plan with a low premium and high deductible for worst-case protection. Choosing the right metal tier (Bronze covers about 60% of costs, Silver 70%, Gold 80%, Platinum 90%) lets you balance premium against expected care.

The right move depends on your income, your health and the plans sold where you live. Explore more affordable health insurance options to see what fits.

See your real 2027 premium in minutes

Honesty®, a licensed AI insurance agent from Honesty® Insurance Services, LLC (NPN 21094885), applies the current subsidy rules, compares every Marketplace plan for your income and doctors, and can enroll you. It is free, unbiased and available 24/7 by chat, voice or text, and it never steers you.

ACA subsidies 2027 FAQ

Are ACA subsidies still available in 2027?

Yes. Only the enhanced subsidies that ran from 2021 through 2025 expired, on December 31, 2025. The original ACA premium tax credit and cost-sharing reductions still exist for 2027 coverage on a smaller sliding scale for incomes between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level.

Did Congress extend the enhanced ACA subsidies?

No. Extension proposals were debated in late 2025 and early 2026, but none became law. As of October 2026, 2027 coverage uses the original ACA formula, with expected contributions of 2.15% to 10.22% of income and no credit above 400% of the federal poverty level.

How much will my premium go up in 2027?

It depends on your income, age, and plan. Insurers proposed a median increase of about 15% for 2027, after KFF estimated subsidized enrollees’ payments would more than double on average in 2026 (about +114%). People near or just over 400% FPL and older enrollees typically see the largest jumps.

What is the 400% FPL subsidy cliff?

It is the income line above which you lose premium tax credits entirely. For 2027 coverage it is $63,840 for an individual and $132,000 for a family of four. Earning even slightly more than the threshold means paying the full premium with no credit.

Can I still lower my premium if I earn just over the cliff?

Sometimes. Because the credit is based on your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI), legal deductions like HSA or retirement contributions can pull your income back under 400% FPL and restore a subsidy. Recheck your MAGI before you renew.

Should I switch to a Silver plan for 2027?

If your income is at or below 250% FPL, a Silver plan can unlock cost-sharing reductions that lower your deductible and out-of-pocket costs. That often makes Silver a better overall value than a cheaper-looking Bronze plan, so compare total costs, not just the premium.

What should I do before my plan auto-renews?

Recheck your estimated 2027 income and MAGI, compare every plan rather than accepting auto-renewal, consider Silver for cost-sharing reductions, and check whether you now qualify for Medicaid. Re-shopping is free and prices are fixed by law.

Can immigrants get ACA subsidies in 2027?

Starting January 1, 2027, the premium tax credit is limited to U.S. citizens and nationals, lawful permanent residents (green card holders), Cuban and Haitian entrants, and Compact of Free Association migrants. Other lawfully present immigrants can still buy a Marketplace plan, but without subsidies.

The 400% cliff is measured against the 2026 HHS guidelines; see the full 2026 FPL chart and Obamacare income limits for your household size.

The repayment caps are also gone starting with tax year 2026; our Form 1095-A guide explains how full repayment works on Form 8962.

New to the law itself? Start with Obamacare explained.

Keep learning: 2027 subsidies explained · How the Health Insurance Marketplace works · Affordable health insurance options · Open Enrollment 2027 dates & deadlines

AS
Reviewed by Adam Segall, Licensed Insurance Agent · FL License #P101968
Written and fact-checked by the HonestyInsure editorial team · Agency: Honesty® Insurance Services, LLC (NPN 21094885), licensed in 49 states + DC.

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